A friend of mine and I used to debate this while playing Backgammon. He had a degree in statistics and me, I am a self-educated barbarian. He would argue that there is a one in six chance of rolling any number on the dice and I would argue that that is only true for an infinite number of rolls. That within the limited scope of any game, there would be a wave of probability which I would base on what he or I were actually rolling. There is no way to predict what the probability is prior to playing. All one can do is try to witness the tendency of the dice and see if a pattern emerges and quite often there would be a pattern that contradicted the one in six and by utilizing that pattern I would beat him much to his annoyance.
When it comes to math, even finding the mean of a data set distorts the data.
Eugenics and eugenicists. It is not surprising that it was eugenicists were the ones who pushed this method. Early 20th century eugenicists were also behind building the UN, as well as building many of the top universities. Cecil Rhodes for example. What is now the Galton Institute was once the British Eugenics Society and it was one Julian Huxley former chair of the BES for 3 years that started UNESCO. J Huxley was the brother of the author Aldous Huxley who wrote Brave New World. Modern day socialism has its roots in early 20th century eugenics. George Bernard Shaw was a eugenicist who advocated for death councils to whom one must justify their existence. Much of the corporate world back then were all behind the eugenics movement and I believe still are.
Part of these Eugenicists multigenerational agenda was to move society away from its past, to replace the religions of old with science and in the past century they have done a great job of turning science into a faith based dogmatic religion especially when it comes to Cosmology and Quantum Mechanics. Just believe the math, they exhort. In the 1930s Rockefeller Foundation funded Technocracy Inc, which was to research how to develop a society based on science and replacing money with energy credits. Back then they lacked the technology to do so, but with the advent of AI and "smart" devices that technology is available. The Great WEF Reset is nothing new and has been planned for for decades.
Self serving control of the peer review process coupled with worse than useless statistics that can be manipulated any way one likes... not much hope in there for scientific method. The problem I keep running into is that there's no clear way to talk to someone about looking at things differently who has a vested interest in a particular view. The utterly obvious may as well be invisible if it conflicts with a strongly held belief or gives credence to a deep rooted fear... 9-11 and the CDC's Covid "proofs" come to mind...
Agreed. It is very rare that someone is convinced to give up one point of view in favor of another. Well, outside of advertising and mass formation psychosis...
It was Edward Bernays, the grandfather of marketing psychology who realized the way to sell goods or an idea is not through reason, but through emotion. Mass formation psychosis is a product of mass emotional manipulation. There is the adage repeat a lie often enough it will become the truth. What happens when all of mass media repeat a lie at the same time? It automatically is believed as truth. All it took was one image of a starving polar bear and humanity is bad. Never mind the science that shows most polar bear populations have increased dramatically over the years, mostly due to banning of hunting, but also due to the fact that historically when there is a warming period, populations of wildlife tend to increase.
A friend of mine and I used to debate this while playing Backgammon. He had a degree in statistics and me, I am a self-educated barbarian. He would argue that there is a one in six chance of rolling any number on the dice and I would argue that that is only true for an infinite number of rolls. That within the limited scope of any game, there would be a wave of probability which I would base on what he or I were actually rolling. There is no way to predict what the probability is prior to playing. All one can do is try to witness the tendency of the dice and see if a pattern emerges and quite often there would be a pattern that contradicted the one in six and by utilizing that pattern I would beat him much to his annoyance.
When it comes to math, even finding the mean of a data set distorts the data.
Eugenics and eugenicists. It is not surprising that it was eugenicists were the ones who pushed this method. Early 20th century eugenicists were also behind building the UN, as well as building many of the top universities. Cecil Rhodes for example. What is now the Galton Institute was once the British Eugenics Society and it was one Julian Huxley former chair of the BES for 3 years that started UNESCO. J Huxley was the brother of the author Aldous Huxley who wrote Brave New World. Modern day socialism has its roots in early 20th century eugenics. George Bernard Shaw was a eugenicist who advocated for death councils to whom one must justify their existence. Much of the corporate world back then were all behind the eugenics movement and I believe still are.
Part of these Eugenicists multigenerational agenda was to move society away from its past, to replace the religions of old with science and in the past century they have done a great job of turning science into a faith based dogmatic religion especially when it comes to Cosmology and Quantum Mechanics. Just believe the math, they exhort. In the 1930s Rockefeller Foundation funded Technocracy Inc, which was to research how to develop a society based on science and replacing money with energy credits. Back then they lacked the technology to do so, but with the advent of AI and "smart" devices that technology is available. The Great WEF Reset is nothing new and has been planned for for decades.
Self serving control of the peer review process coupled with worse than useless statistics that can be manipulated any way one likes... not much hope in there for scientific method. The problem I keep running into is that there's no clear way to talk to someone about looking at things differently who has a vested interest in a particular view. The utterly obvious may as well be invisible if it conflicts with a strongly held belief or gives credence to a deep rooted fear... 9-11 and the CDC's Covid "proofs" come to mind...
Agreed. It is very rare that someone is convinced to give up one point of view in favor of another. Well, outside of advertising and mass formation psychosis...
It was Edward Bernays, the grandfather of marketing psychology who realized the way to sell goods or an idea is not through reason, but through emotion. Mass formation psychosis is a product of mass emotional manipulation. There is the adage repeat a lie often enough it will become the truth. What happens when all of mass media repeat a lie at the same time? It automatically is believed as truth. All it took was one image of a starving polar bear and humanity is bad. Never mind the science that shows most polar bear populations have increased dramatically over the years, mostly due to banning of hunting, but also due to the fact that historically when there is a warming period, populations of wildlife tend to increase.